NOW they notice!

Haaretz reported Friday, with some surprise, that Gaza sewage has been pumped straight into the Mediterranean since last January, when the Gaza power plant last had to shut down for lack of fuel, and it was feared that sudden electricity outages could cause catastrophic sewage flooding in Gaza that might even threaten human life (as it did just over a year ago).

Akiva Eldar reported in Haaretz that a UN report says that “Millions of liters of sewage have been released over the past three months into the Mediterranean Sea from the Gaza Strip, according to a new United Nations report. According to the report, an estimated 50-60 million liters of waste have been pumped into the sea. This was done in an effort to prevent an overflow of sewage in residential areas. Normally, the sewage is pumped to prearranged sites for treatment, but the shortage of fuel in the Gaza Strip has caused disruptions in the supply of electricity. These shortages, lack of sufficient quantities of chemicals necessary for treating sewage, and spare parts, has led the Gaza officials to pump the waste into the sea. The report prepared by Office of the Coordinator for Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) raises concerns that the untreated sewage is carrying Escherichia coli (e. coli) bacteria into the sea which may affect those swimming in its waters … The authors of the report also wrote that in areas where the sewage is pumped into the sea, the color of the water is dark brown and a strong odor emanates. Fishermen in Gaza bay claim the sewage has killed much of the fish in the area … The treatment plant requires constant electrical supply, and the OCHA report calls on Israel to lift its restrictions on fuel supplies to the Gaza Strip. OCHA says that unless electricity can run continuously it is impossible to make regular use of the sanitation equipment in the Strip. The UN is also calling on Israel to allow the transfer of materials and spare parts that are necessary to upgrade the sewage system, and which would allow the construction of three modern sewage treatment stations in the Strip”. This article can be read in full in Haaretz here .

A separate report in the Jerusalem Post says that “Gaza’s water authority has dumped 60 million liters of partially treated and untreated sewage into the Mediterranean Sea since January 24, the UN’s Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs said in a report released on Wednesday. ‘The sewage discharge is contaminating Gaza seawater and posing health risks for bathers and consumers of seafood. The sewage flows northward to Israeli coasts, including near the Ashkelon desalination plant. Urgent studies are needed to examine the extent of the impact’, the report reads. The report’s authors blamed Israel’s blockade of the Gaza Strip for the Gazans’ inability to treat the sewage … The UN said Gaza’s water authority, the Coastal Municipalities Water Utility, required 14 days of uninterrupted electricity to treat the sewage. The utility provides more than 130 million cubic meters of water per year, according to the report, 80 percent of which ends up as sewage. Moreover, because of the restrictions on imports and exports into and out of the Strip, spare parts needed to repair the sewage treatment plants had not been allowed in”…

Then, the JPost article contains defensive and misleading information such as: “a security source familiar with the situation told The Jerusalem Post on Thursday that the vast majority of Gaza’s electrical needs were being met by Israel and Egypt. ‘Gaza is receiving 141 megawatts a day out of [its normal requirements of] 200 megawatts at this time from Israel and Egypt’, the source said”. This JPost article can be read in full here .

OK. Let’s take this apart a little bit:
(1) If Gaza is receiving 141 MW a day at this time from Israel and Egypt, that means Israel is providing 124 MW of directly supplied electricity daily from Ashdod or Ashkelon — I think Ashkelon, but both have been reported with great assurance and authority in the Israeli media. And that would mean that Israel has rescinded the electricity cuts that the Israeli military authorized to start on 7 February — and it would only have done so if it realized that any electricity cuts could cause a potentially catastrophic humanitarian crisis that the Israeli military promised it will avoid.

(2) Gaza’s requirements are more than 200 MW a day — they were 240 MW in the winter, and may be just slightly less now, but will rise again as the summer heat sets in. Gaza has been experiencing at least 20% electricity shortfalls, which cause constant brown-outs and black-outs. But, let’s just go along with what this Israeli security source says for a moment: If Gaza normally requires 200 MW per day, and Israel and Egpyt are together supplying 141 MW a day, that means that somewhere, somehow, Gaza must be generating at least 59 MW per day on its own. However, it has not been able to do so, because the Israeli military-ordered fuel cuts affecting Gaza’s only power plant, which operates on Israeli-supplied, European-financed industrial diesel fuel, have restricted production to an average of 45-50 MW per day. Lately, it has only been able to generate 40 MW per day, because fuel deliveries have been short, because the Israeli military says there have been attacks from Gaza on the fuel transfer terminal at Nahal Oz. But, as Sari Bashi, executive director of the Israeli human rights organization GISHA — who has led a fight against these fuel and electricity cuts — says, “if the military can supply some fuel, why can’t it supply enough?”

BUT, we’ve been writing about this for months …

Then, this JPost article also says that Hamas should find a solution.

And, it then goes on to argue, in a hallucinatory fantasy, that sewage has been dumped from Gaza into the sea for years, so this is nothing new, and that the Gazans (now living under tightening Israeli sanctions) should cheerfully recycle this sewage waste water for agriculture, as happy Israelis are doing.

Again, let’s take this apart:
(1) sewage flowed into the sea from Gaza for years, yes, before the Oslo Peace Process started in 1993. After that, donors paid for various sanitation installations to treat this sewage. SOme of these installations have been damaged during IDF attacks. Now, those that were in working order have now been put out of service by the Israeli military-ordered fuel cuts, and by the lack of spare parts — again, banned by the IDF under its sanctions program against Hamas in Gaza — to conduct normal mantanence operations.

The JPost article reports that the spokesman for Israel’s Water Authority, Uri Schor, told its reporter that “The State of Israel assists in various ways to the pumping and water distribution and to the continued operation of the sewage treatment plants. That assistance includes approval to transfer most of equipment the Palestinian Authority has requested - the rest is in the process of being verified - and all the diesel fuel necessary to run the plants“. The JPOst adds, faithfully, that “Schor added: ‘These plants had not been affected by any cutbacks to electricity’ [and] Schor suggested the PA follow Israel’s example and use treated sewage water for agriculture in place of potable water. ‘Right now, 70% of Israel’s sewage is treated and recycled, and the plan is to recycle all of it. In the PA, all of the agriculture uses freshwater, and using recycled sewage water would enable the Palestinians to redirect tens of millions of cubic meters of water for household use’, he said. Responsible management by the PA would add a respectable amount of expensive freshwater to their supply, he said”…

Yes, sure, but the PA includes the West Bank, which is not under these Israeli military-controlled sanctions that affect Gaza, and except that the supposed freshwater in Gaza is brackish because of seawater infusions due to overpumping of the water tables — some of the overpumping was/is being done by Israel …

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“Our eyes have the right to shed tears…”

A Sudanese journalist working for Al-Jazeera Television was released from Guantanamo prison camp yesterday after six years of detention and sixteen months on a hunger strike. He was never charged with any crime.

Upon his arrival in Sudan, he was carried off the plane on a stretcher, and taken straight to the hospital.

AP quoted him as telling Al-Jazeera from his hospital bed: “Thank God … for being free again … Our eyes have the right to shed tears after we have spent all those years in prison. … But our joy is not going to be complete until our brothers in Guantanamo Bay are freed … Some of our brothers live without clothing” .

AP reported that “Al-Haj was detained in December 2001 by Pakistani authorities as he tried to enter Afghanistan to cover the U.S.-led invasion. He was turned over to the U.S. military and taken in January 2002 to Guantanamo Bay, where the United States holds some 275 men suspected of links to al-Qaida and the Taliban, most of them without charges. Reprieve, the British human rights group that represents 35 Guantanamo prisoners including al-Haj, said Pakistani forces apparently seized al-Haj at the behest of the U.S. authorities who suspected he had interviewed Osama bin Laden. But that ’supposed intelligence’ turned out to be false, Reprieve said in a news release … Attorney Zachary Katznelson of Reprieve, who met al-Haj at Guantanamo on April 11, said … ‘Sami is a poster child for everything that is wrong about Guantanamo Bay: No charges, no trial, constantly shifting allegations, brutal treatment, no visits with family, not even a phone call home … Sami was never alleged to have hurt a soul, and was never proven to have committed any crimes. Yet, he had fewer rights than convicted mass murderers or rapists. What has happened to American justice?’ ”

The AP story added that “Al-Haj was never prosecuted at Guantanamo so the U.S did not make public its full allegations against him. But in a hearing that determined that he was an enemy combatant, U.S. officials alleged that in the 1990s, al-Haj was an executive assistant at a Qatar-based beverage company that provided support to Muslim fighters in Bosnia and Chechnya. The U.S. claimed he also traveled to Azerbaijan at least eight times to carry money on behalf of his employer to the Al-Haramain Islamic Foundation, a now defunct charity that U.S. authorities say funded militant groups. The officials said during this period that he met Mamdouh Mahmud Salim, a senior lieutenant to Osama bin Laden who was arrested in Germany in 1998 and extradited to the United States. Officials did not provide details”.

AP also said that “The military alleged he was a courier for a militant Muslim organization, an allegation his lawyers denied. Al-Haj said he believed he was arrested because of U.S. hostility toward Al-Jazeera and because the media was reporting on U.S. rights violations in Afghanistan”.

The AP story can be read in full here .

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IDF says it killed Reuters camaraman in Gaza without knowing he was a journalist

Haaretz is reporting that the Israeli Defense Forces is saying that its troops who killed Reuters cameraman in Gaza didn’t know they were firing at TV crew: “Israel Defense Forces troops were unable to identify Reuters News cameraman Fadel Shana as a journalist before they fired at him from a tank, the army said on Wednesday, citing the preliminary results of an investigation. Shana died while filming on a road in central Gaza on April 16. Five other Palestinians also died in the attack. Shana had been travelling in a vehicle that was marked with large press and TV stickers on the front and sides and was wearing blue body armour with ‘Press’ in large blue letters on a white fluorescent panel on the front. Responding to repeated requests for an official explanation of the incident, IDF spokeswoman Major Avital Leibovich said the army had not yet completed its investigation but would provide a full account as soon as possible. ‘The initial investigation showed they were not identified as members of the press’, she said … Reuters News editors met Leibovich and representatives of Prime Minister Ehud Olmert’s office on Wednesday to urge the Israeli military to share the findings of its investigation. ‘We owe it to the family of Fadel Shana and journalists working for Reuters and other media organisations to establish exactly what happened two weeks ago’, said Mark Thompson, Reuters News managing editor for Europe, Middle East and Africa”. This report is published on Haaretz here .

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Sewage overflows Gaza streets after daylight electricity failure

Today, sewage flooded the streets in Gaza due to an electricity failure — due to a shortage of industrial diesel fuel to run Gaza’s only power plant — due to Israeli military-imposed fuel cuts — to give force to an Israeli government proclamation that Gaza is “hostile territory” or an “enemy entity” …

Photo by Ismail Zaydah for Reuters

Is this any way to run an occupation?Photo by Ismail Zaydah

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Israel Deputy Defense Minister: Israel trying to avoid humanitarian crisis in Gaza

The Jerusalem Post has reported that in today’s meeting of Israel’s Security Cabinet — at which Defense Minister Ehud Barak was not present, to the great annoyance of Prime Minister Ehud Barak, thus apparently preventing the taking of any decisions — “Deputy Defense Minister Matan Vilna’i reported that Israel was transferring fuel to the Gaza Strip but that the Palestinians were not picking it up at the Nahal Oz fuel terminal. ‘Israel is transferring goods to the Gaza Strip to avoid a humanitarian crisis there’, he said”.
here .

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Another IDF General Closure of West Bank and Gaza — last night

The IDF spokesperson announced that “In accordance with the Minister’s of Defense decision and in light of security assessments, a general closure of Judea, Samaria and the Gaza Strip, began last night, April 29th, 2008 at 12:00am, and will be lifted on Thursday, May 1st, 2008 at 12:00am. The lifting of the closure will be carried out in accordance with security assessments. For the duration of the closure the passage of those in need of humanitarian aid as well as doctors, medical personnel and additional professional groups will be authorized by the District Coordination and Liaison offices. The IDF regards Remembrance Day as a highly sensitive time, security wise. Accordingly, the IDF will increase its alertness in order to ensure the safety of the citizens of Israel, while preserving, to the best of its ability, the daily life of the Palestinian population”.

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Palestinian and Israeli groups issue urgent joint call for end to fuel cuts to Gaza

An urgent call was issued jointly Tuesday by Palestinian and Israeli human rights groups who are calling for an end to restrictions on Gaza’s fuel supply — and to the “unprecedented harm being caused to Gaza’s humanitarian needs”.

The groups, in their joint statement, expressed “concern and outrage at the systematic dismantling of the Gaza Strip’s vital systems”.

They called for an immediate end by Israel — the occupying power – to the six-month long military-ordered restrictions on fuel supply that have paralyzed Gaza’s infrastructure and endangered the health and well-being of Gaza’s 1.5 million residents.

The fuel cuts have drained reserves and left essential systems vulnerable to supply interruptions, the statement explained.

Meanwhile, Haaretz newspaper reports that Israel is somehow trying to block criticism by international donors and/or the Quartet in meetings scheduled in London on the 1st and 2nd of May.

Haaretz notes that Egypt also made a complaint a few days ago to both the UN Security Council and to the Quartet describing “a dangerously explosive situation in the Gaza Strip”.  The Egyptian complaint apparently also expressed concern that “an explosion in the Gaza Strip would result in a serious escalation in the region’.”

The Israeli military exerts total control on all entry and exit of people and goods to and from Gaza.  Fuel can enter only through a complex fuel transfer system at Nahal Oz crossing.

“Since an attack on the Nahal Oz crossing on 9 April that killed two civilians, Israel has restricted fuel supplies to levels far below even the minimum, insufficient levels promised to the Supreme Court. It has transferred no diesel or petrol supply and just 1/3 of the industrial diesel needed for Gaza’s power plant”, the statement by the human rights groups explained.

Due to the shortage of fuel, the Gaza power plant reduced its output to only 40 MW of electricity.  It had been producing 55 MW daily earlier in April, and 65 MW a day before the fuel cuts began on 28 October.  It is capable, now, of producing 80 MW of electricity daily, if only it had enough fuel.

The statement notes that two days before the deadly attack on Nahal Oz, on 7 April, “Gaza’s petroleum company owners began striking, refusing to deliver the minimal quantities of petrol and diesel on the Palestinian side of Nahal Oz”.

Reuters reported Monday that Hamas is now pleading with the Association for Petroleum Companies in Gaza to release the fuel that is blocked in storage in Nahal Oz.

Sari Bashi, executive director of the Israeli human rights organization Gisha, who has led the court battle and co-authored Tuesday’s statement, said in an interview on Tuesday that “Certainly the strike intensifies the shortage of fuel in Gaza, but the main problem is that Israel is restricting the quantities it permits in”.

“We note that the fuel shortages were manufactured by Israel’s policy of closures, and of depriving the people of Gaza of the fuel needed for daily life”, Bashi added.  “We’re very concerned about the effects of the fuel restrictions on the residents of Gaza”.

Bashi said that the Israeli military has replied via the State Attorney to Gisha’s questions about the urgent need for delivery of all types of fuel to Gaza, acknowledging that only 1 million liters of fuel per week have been permitted into Gaza for the power plant – because there have been attacks at the crossings, according to the IDF.

The military did not indicate that it was backing down from its commitment to Israel’s Supreme Court to deliver a minimum of 2.2 million liters of fuel per week for Gaza’s vital power plant, Bashi said.

Instead, the military explained that it is interpreting this commitment as being subject to conditions on the ground which can justify further reductions in fuel to Gaza, Bashi said.

The military wrote that “The State is permitted to take the necessary steps to defend the soldiers and citizens of Israel, including closing the crossings into Gaza, even if that means a de facto reduction of the quantities of fuel that are delivered”.

But, Bashi said, “We are asking why, if they can pump some fuel in, why can’t they pump more”?

Bashi says the military reported that 300 tons of cooking gas were delivered today (Tuesday), UNRWA took some 55,000 liters of regular diesel fuel – and, according to the Israeli the military, Hamas took 22,000 liters of diesel and 22,000 liters of gasoline/benzene used for transportation.

The Jerusalem Post reported Tuesday that Hamas gunmen on Tuesday stole fuel from the Palestinian side of the Nahal Oz fuel terminal.  According to the Jerusalem Post, “Mojahed Salam[a], head of the Palestinian Authority’s gas agency, told Israel Radio that that his workers were threatened at gunpoint and that he told them obey the orders of the armed men so they wouldn’t get hurt.  ‘They took control of the fuel and fired toward the terminal in order to torpedo the flow of fuel to the Strip and to pressure Egypt into reopening the Rafah border crossing’, said Salam[a].

[Actually, the Jerusalem Post story said that Hamas stole fuel that was destined for the Gaza power plant -- but that is industrial diesel fuel that simply cannot be used instead of regular diesel for transport or to power stand-by generators.]

The regular diesel fuel and the gasoline/benzene is ordered through the Palestinian Authority, and payment is channeled through the PA as well.  The industrial diesel fuel used only for the power plant is ordered by the PA, but paid for by the European Union, and is handled separately.

Nine Israeli and Palestinian organizations signed Tuesday’s urgent call for a lifting of fuel restrictions – one fewer than the number who had unsuccessfully petitioned the Israeli Supreme Court to block the fuel cuts.  The Galilee-based Israeli-Arab organization ADALAH did not join in today’s statement.  An Adalah official explained that they could not sign because their mandate, as a human rights organization, is only to address state parties, but not non-state actors.

Tuesday’s statement was addressed both to Israel and to “armed groups in Gaza”.

The nine groups who endorsed the statement said, jointly: “We emphasize Israel’s obligation as the primary duty bearer under the law of occupation to ensure the humane treatment of the civilian population, including with respect to the provision of fuel to the Gaza Strip, ensuring the maintenance of hospitals, public health services and food and medical supplies and refraining from rendering useless objects indispensable to the survival of the civilian population”.

The fuel is needed to generate electricity, power hospitals, run transportation, pump water and sewage, and provide for basic social and economic needs, the statement said.

The statement called on “armed groups in Gaza to refrain from attacking civilians, including at the crossings that channel fuel, food, and other goods into the Gaza Strip”, and it also called on Israel “to refrain from attacking civilians and depriving them of basic rights and needs”.

“Acts of reprisals and collective penalties against civilians are unjustified and could be considered war crimes that must be investigated and stopped”, the statement said.  The groups also called on “all parties to respect their obligations under human rights and humanitarian law, especially the obligation to distinguish between civilians and combatants”.

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Pressure mounts in Gaza

Just back from the long Passover holiday, the Israeli State Attorney (Chief Prosecutor) has promised to write a letter to the Israeli human rights organization Gisha by today giving answers to questions about the provision of fuel to Gaza.

On Sunday, another one million liters of industrial diesel fuel was permitted to enter Gaza, and was delivered to Gaza’s only power plant – but that is enough for just three or four days operation.  Otherwise, the plant would have been out of fuel and would have had to shut down today.

Last week, one million liters of fuel for the plant was also delivered.

But, the Israeli military told the Israeli High Court of Justice (Supreme Court) at the end of January that it would deliver 2.2 million liters of fuel a week for the power plant.  Even this is not enough to operate two turbines at reduced capacity, and the electrical output has varied between 40-65 MW a day, according to quantities delivered, and demand for electricity.

The situation in the Gaza Strip is verging on anarchy.

Israel and the Palestinian Authority accuse Hamas of having a strategic plan to close down the border crossings, including Nahal Oz where all fuel is transferred to Gaza by the private Israeli Company, Dor Alon, under Palestinian Authority contract.

At the moment, the only fuel getting into Gaza is for the power plant.

The Association for Petroleum Companies in Gaza has refused to accept deliveries of restricted quantities of regular diesel fuel used for transport or for stand-by generators, or of gasoline/ benzene for automobiles.

As the IDF regularly complains, the Nahal Oz fuel storage is full to capacity with this undelivered fuel.

After the Hamas military coup against Fatah security forces in Gaza in mid-June 2007, the head of the Palestinian Gas and Petroleum Authority in the Ramallah-based Ministry of Finance, Mojahed Salama, asked the Association for Petroleum Companies in Gaza to be in charge of receiving and distributing the fuel transferred into Gaza.  The majority of the Ministry of Finance employees are unable to function in Gaza due to the current security situation, Salama said.

Mahmoud al-Shawwa, Head of the Association for Petroleum Companies in Gaza, said in an interview in Ramallah last week that the limited quantities Israel was allowing to enter was not enough – just 15 to 20% of the normal daily requirements for gasoline/benzene, and just 25-20% of regular diesel.

This caused problems for all the owners of gas stations in Gaza, Mr. Shawwa said – including security problems, because the supplies are sold on a first-come, first-served basis, and there are no police who control the angry customers.  Sometimes, he said, there is even shooting at the gas stations.

So, the Association went on strike, and refused to accept the limited deliveries.

Fuel available on the black market is double and triple the price at the pumps, Mr. Shawwa explained – with regular diesel that normally sells for 5.35 NIS now selling for 10 NIS a liter, and benzene/gasoline that normally sells for 6 NIS going for up to 20 NIS.

The fuel being sold on the black market was brought into Gaza by Hamas after they destroyed the wall at the Rafah crossing in late January, Mr. Shawwa indicated.  He says that Hamas brought in two million liters of regular diesel, and 500,000 liters of benzene/gasoline.

Even that will not last too long, however.

Normal daily needs are for 200,000 liters of regular diesel fuel, Mr. Shawwa said, while the Israeli military authorized delivery of only 114,000 liters.  And normal daily needs for gasoline/benzene is 40-50,000 liters, while a supply of only 10-11,000 per day was permitted to enter.

“We are 1.5 million citizens in Gaza”, Mr. Shawwa said, “and Hamas are just a small part of these people.  But the problems are faced not by Hamas, but by the normal people who are suffering”.

Mr. Shawwa said he has sent many letters through the American Consulate in Jerusalem, addressed to the American government and people, asking them “to stand on the side of the people in Gaza … who are suffering because of Hamas – yet a few days ago former President Carter was sitting with Hamas – why?”.  He said he hopes that “the American people will open both their eyes, and see both the peoples of Israel and the Palestinians in Gaza Strip as well”.

Mr. Shawwa also said he told the Americans that “Hamas needs the suffering of the people – it’s the best situation for Hamas”.  And, he said, “we sent the same message to the Israeli side”.

Meanwhile, an attempt to transfer a limited quantity of fuel to UNRWA operations from the full Nahal Oz fuel storage facilities was blocked by Palestinian farmers and fisherman who say they need the fuel as well.

UNRWA has said it has no more fuel to carry out its food distributions in Gaza.  Palestinian refugees demonstrated in front of UNRWA’s Gaza headquarters on Sunday to protest the lack of food deliveries.

Reuters is reporting today that Hamas is now pleading with the Association for Petroleum Companies in Gaza to release the fuel that is blocked in storage in Nahal Oz,

And, Israel continues to accuse Hamas of being responsible for the situation.

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IAEA criticizes Israel’s “unilateral use of force” against Syria last 6 September

ABC reported after the much-anticipated briefing by the U.S. Administration to members of Congress on Israel’s attack on a Syrian target last September that “Committee chairman Silvestre Reyes, D-Texas, and ranking member Pete Hoekstra, R-Mich., are furious with the Bush administration for failing to brief Congress until eight months after Israeli jets bombed a suspected Syrian nuclear site Sept. 6, 2007 … Leading lawmakers from the House Intelligence Committee accused the Bush administration of leaving them out of the loop by refusing to provide adequate intelligence briefings on North Korean help in constructing a nuclear facility in Syria until today. Both sides of the aisle warned the administration it would now face a steeper battle to gain congressional approval for any deal that may be reached to eliminate North Korea’s nuclear program through the so-called six-party talks … Neither Israeli nor U.S. officials had previously acknowledged the bombing in public and, according to satellite imagery taken in recent months, Syria quietly paved over the wreckage in an attempt to hide what had been built there. Hoekstra suggested that today’s briefing was motivated more by the administration’s attempts to advance the six-party talks than to fulfill its obligations to keep the relevant oversight committees on Capitol Hill informed. Those talks have deadlocked in recent months over North Korea’s failure to provide a satisfactory declaration of its nuclear programs by a Dec. 31, 2007 deadline. A deal may be in the works, however, under which North Korea would simply “acknowledge” U.S. concerns about Pyongyang’s proliferation activities”. The full ABC report can be seen here.

The Israeli press has gone quiet again — except for some anxiety-producing speculation that this briefing will provoke a Syrian attack (while there is much public activity elsewhere about Turkish efforts to bring Israel and Syria back into peace negotiations”.

Meanwhile, the IAEA is indignant. AP reported that “The head of the U.N. nuclear monitoring agency angrily criticized Israel on Friday for bombing an alleged Syrian nuclear facility, and chastised the U.S. for withholding information on the site.
The International Atomic Energy Agency said Director-General Mohamed ElBaradei also was not provided information about the site until Thursday, the same day U.S. officials briefed members of the House Intelligence Committee about evidence including dozens of photographs taken from ground level and footage of the interior of the building gathered by spy satellites after the Israeli strike seven months ago … ‘The Director General deplores the fact that this information was not provided to the Agency in a timely manner, in accordance with the Agency’s responsibilities under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), to enable it to verify its veracity and establish the facts’, ElBaradei’s office said. Additionally, ‘the Director General views the unilateral use of force by Israel as undermining the due process of verification that is at the heart of the non-proliferation regime‘, it said … Top U.S. intelligence officials who briefed reporters in Washington Thursday said they had high confidence in the judgment that North Korea had aided Syria with its nuclear program and the intention was to produce plutonium. But they claimed only low confidence for the conclusion that it was meant for weapons development, in part because there was no reprocessing facility at the site — something that would be needed to extract plutonium from spent reactor fuel for use in a bomb. The Syrian reactor was within weeks or months of being functional when Israeli jets destroyed it, a top U.S. official told The Associated Press in Washington, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the matter. The official said the facility was mostly completed but still had needed significant testing before it could have been declared operational”. The full AP report can be read here .

Syria says the evidence is fabricated.

There is a very interesting analysis which analyzes “inconsistencies in the presentation” and suggests that the Administration’s slide-show to Congress could have been — indeed, that it was — fake, posted over at the Moon of Alabama blog, here.

This posting calls the presentation an “elaborate information operation”, and says: “Some of these pictures are manipulated. Others might have been made in a different context and at a different place than alleged. Some are outright misleading.”

It also says: “one slide shows some undefinable structure in a very blurry aerial photograph next to a CIA computer graphic and the text says: ‘Internal Structure of Destroyed Building Matches Reactor Computer Model’. One really wonders how that could be. These CIA indeed managed to paint a computer graphic so that it fits their interpretation of a very blurry photograph. Who would have expected such a capability within that organisation?”

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Did Syria and Iran send peace signal to Israel? What about Lebanon?

A Guest Post from Aletheia Kallos/MD:

from
http://www.stratfor.com/geopolitical_diary/geopolitical_diary_syria_and_israel_hint_peace_talks

Geopolitical Diary: Syria and Israel Hint at Peace Talks
April 24, 2008 | 0154 GMT

The morning of April 21, we woke up to a report in the Syrian media saying that Israel had agreed to hand the Golan Heights back to Syria in exchange for a peace agreement. The Syrian story was reported in the Israeli media, with no comment from the Olmert government, although several Israeli politicians vigorously condemned the idea. Since Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert was reported to be on vacation, we figured there was a time delay and settled back waiting for the Israeli government to deny the Syrian report.

That’s when it became interesting. Rather than denying the report, Olmert’s spokesman Mark Regev said, “I have nothing to add beyond what the prime minister said on Friday in his interviews with the Israeli press about his desire for peace with Syria.” Olmert had said, “Very clearly we want peace with the Syrians and are taking all manner of action to this end. President Bashar al-Assad knows precisely what our expectations are and we know his. I won’t say more.”

On Wednesday, Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moualem held a press conference in Tehran, of all places, along with Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki. Al-Moallem said there that “if Israel is serious and wants peace, nothing will stop the renewal of peace talks”. Another Syrian minister, speaking on al Jazeera at about the same time, said that “Olmert is ready for peace with Syria on the grounds of international conditions; on the grounds of the return
of the Golan Heights in full to Syria.”

So now we have the Syrian foreign minister offering peace talks with the Israelis while standing next to the Iranian foreign minister, who apparently did not go into cardiac arrest; another Syrian minister confirming this and implying that the quid pro quo for peace is the Golan Heights; and the Israeli prime minister’s office refusing to deny these reports while referring back to a statement made by the prime minister in which he said that Israel wants peace with
the Syrians and both sides know what the terms are.

This is not quite the same thing as saying that a deal has been made. What it is saying is that the terms of such a deal are clearly understood by both sides and that neither side is walking away from the table, which means that the terms are at least in the ball park — so much so from the Syrian side that it was worth going to Tehran to talk about it with the Iranians, and apparently the Iranians did not back away from Syria. That means that the Syrians not only
have their ally on board, but are signaling the Israelis that the ally — Iran — can live with the terms, which of course opens other vistas.

The talk today has focused on the Golan Heights, at least as far as the Syrians are concerned. From the Israeli point of view, the Heights are not nearly as militarily critical as they once might have appeared. While holding the Heights — which, unlike Gaza, are fairly lightly populated — the Syrians fired artillery at Israeli settlements. That was a problem, but not a strategic threat. Holding the Golan Heights did pose a challenge to the Israelis. In the 1973 War, the Israelis had to fight with their backs to the Golan escarpment in order to block the Syrians. Had the Syrians held the Heights, and the Israelis were in the hills on the other side of the Jordan River, the strategic situation would have been different. The Syrians could not have taken the Israelis by surprise, and the armor descending the Heights would have been in the killing ground for Israeli armor, artillery and missiles as they descended. Moreover, in today’s
military environment, conventional artillery is vulnerable to everything from cruise missiles to helicopters firing Hellfire missiles and to computerized counter-battery fire. Whatever the argument was for taking the Heights in 1967, the military situation has evolved since then.

It is therefore not inconceivable that Olmert would trade the Golan Heights for a peace treaty. But the real issue between Israel and Syria isn’t the Golan Heights. The issue is Lebanon.

Syria’s fundamental interest is to the west, where it has strategic and economic interests. It wants to be the dominant power in Lebanon. Israel also has deep interests in Lebanon, which are primarily defensive. It does not want Lebanon used — primarily by Hezbollah At this point — as a base from which to attack Israel. Israel and Syria had an informal understanding after the Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon that Syria would have a free hand there and would be expected to control Hezbollah. There is a basis for understanding here as well — one which would leave many Lebanese in a difficult position, but might satisfy Israeli and Syrian interests.

But before that comes the domestic battle in Israel. There are powerful forces that would argue, one, the Golan is much more significant militarily than we have portrayed it here; two, allowing Syria to dominate Lebanon gives Damascus another axis from which to attack Israel later; and three, Israel would find a Syrian-Iranian force to its north over the next generation. These are not trivial arguments and can be reinforced by the Tehran press conference, which signaled that the Syrians are not acting independently of the Iranians.

At the same time, Olmert will argue that peace is worth the risk and point to Egypt as an example. The argument will go on, but now at least we are seeing where the various odd events of the past few weeks were leading — and it is not clear that it cannot end in war. If this falls apart, as it well might, the situation could rapidly spiral out of control as both countries start to maneuver in Lebanon.

All of this is fascinating, but what stands out is the fact that the Iranians have signaled that they can live with a deal with Israel. In the long run, the implications of that are the most interesting”.

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